India braces for hotter-than-normal summer as heatwaves rise

India is bracing for a hotter‑than‑normal summer this year, with heatwave days expected to climb from March through May 2026. The meteorological office says minimum temperatures in March are likely to stay above the seasonal average across most areas. The trend comes on the heels of February, which saw both maximum and minimum temperatures above average, making it the fifth‑warmest February since records began in 1901. The rising heat is not just a comfort concern; it could affect crop yields for winter sowings such as wheat, rapeseed, and chickpeas, which rely on cooler conditions during their growth cycle.

Market observers warn that March heat could influence grain size and yields, a factor in a country that is the world’s second‑largest wheat producer and a major importer of edible oils. In notes from a Mumbai‑based trader, the anticipation is for bumper 2026 crops that could export surplus wheat and reduce costly imports of palm, soybean, and sunflower oils.

Above‑normal heatwave days are expected over most parts of the country during March to May 2026, with some regional variations. Public health, water supply, and power demand are on the radar as heat intensifies. North Tamil Nadu was singled out as likely to see above‑normal heatwave days this summer. Farmers and urban planners should prepare for heat‑related stresses, even as government agencies issue forecast updates and impact‑based advisories.

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