Bihar 2025 Exit Polls Preview: NDA vs Mahagathbandhan in a High-Stakes Battle
Bihar 2025 Exit Polls Preview: NDA vs Mahagathbandhan in a High-Stakes Battle
Phase 2 voting in Bihar closes as exit polls loom, offering the first buzz about which alliance might tip the scales in 2025 ahead of November 14 results.
Bihar's political landscape is brimming with anticipation as the 2025 Assembly elections intensify, pitting the NDA led by Nitish Kumar's JD(U) and BJP allies against Tejashwi Yadav's INDIA bloc. With phase 2 voting wrapped up on November 11, voters now await the exit polls that promise the first real read on which way the wind is blowing, ahead of the official results on November 14. Campaigns have already centered on development, governance, and caste-class calculus, reflecting a state known for its vote swing.
Exit polls in 2020 offered a wide range of predictions. Some outlets forecast a Mahagathbandhan landslide, others spoke of a tight contest, while the final tally defied many forecasts, with the NDA securing 125 seats to the Mahagathbandhan's 110, and BJP winning 74 seats. The contrasting forecasts underscored the volatility of Bihar's electoral map and the challenge for pollsters to forecast a result in a state with rapidly shifting alliances.
This election repeats the drama, as the NDA seeks to defend its lead by narrating governance gains and development projects, while the INDIA bloc counters with youth leadership and a broader opposition message. Approximately 3.7 crore voters are eligible to cast their ballots in this phase, and turnout in the early hours of phase 2 has been watched closely for early momentum signals. The main contest remains focused on performance, local issues, and the ability of each alliance to mobilize its base across districts that play pivotal roles in determining the final seat tally.
As exit polls roll out after polling ends, analysts, parties, and observers will parse the numbers for indicators, while the final verdict will come on November 14, when Bihar's voters deliver the definitive answer on who will lead the state for the next five years. In the meantime, the chatter behind the scenes is likely to center on regional dynamics, seat-sharing adjustments, and the call of voters in the run-up to the result day.
Cover image source: Bihar election 2025 phase 2 voting: Bihar records 31.38% turnout by 11 am after historic phase 1 voting 🔗
